23/11/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Black Leopards FC vs Upington City Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
15%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
34%
Draw
29%
28%
Away Win
25%
60%
Under 2.5
65%
40%
Over 2.5
35%
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
53%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Black Leopards FC v Upington City — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Black Leopards FC
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Upington City
EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-9%
1.22/0.67
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.81/1.25
-2%
/
+19%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-13%
/
-4%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
262 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
366 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
Black Leopards FC vs Upington City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Black Leopards FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Upington City
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
30.09.2023
Black Leopards FC
1-0
HT 1-0
Upington City
GAF1
1-0
HT 1-0
Upington City
GAF1
POST-MATCH
Black Leopards FC vs Upington City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Black Leopards FC and Upington City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match split (38% / 34% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Black Leopards FC vs Upington City?
Black Leopards FC 1-1 Upington City in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Black Leopards FC vs Upington City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Black Leopards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Black Leopards FC 38%, draw 34%, Upington City 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Black Leopards FC), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Black Leopards FC)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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GAF1
More South Afrika - 1st Division
23 Nov 2024