Magesi 2-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - League Cup, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.95
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.75
No
57%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.51
6+ Goals
7%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+8.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
58%
Away Win
70%
-11.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+10.5pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magesi EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magesi
2-1
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
27% Ball Possession 73%
4 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Magesi vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magesi squeezed past Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Mamelodi Sundowns carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Magesi had 27% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 73%, shots finished 4-21.

What was the final score of Magesi vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Magesi 2-1 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - League Cup on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magesi vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Magesi 18%, draw 24%, Mamelodi Sundowns 58%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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