Nairobi City Stars 0-1 Tusker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.06
No
63%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.8pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.4pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Tusker EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.85
+48% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -59%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nairobi City Stars
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tusker
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
16.01.2022 Tusker Tusker 0-1 HT 0-0 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nairobi City Stars
0-1
AWAY Tusker
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nairobi City Stars vs Tusker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tusker nicked a narrow win over Nairobi City Stars 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Tusker found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nairobi City Stars had 46% of the ball to Tusker's 54%, shots finished 9-18.

What was the final score of Nairobi City Stars vs Tusker?

Nairobi City Stars 0-1 Tusker in the Kenya - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nairobi City Stars vs Tusker?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nairobi City Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nairobi City Stars 40%, draw 22%, Tusker 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nairobi City Stars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nairobi City Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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