Pahang 1-1 Selangor FA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Cup, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pahang EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Selangor FA EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -67% / -67%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -77%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pahang
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Selangor FA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
31.07.2024 Pahang Pahang 1-1 HT 1-1 Selangor FA Selangor FA MALES
09.07.2023 Pahang Pahang 1-0 HT 0-0 Selangor FA Selangor FA MALES
15.04.2023 Selangor FA Selangor FA 4-0 HT 1-0 Pahang Pahang MALEFK
05.03.2023 Selangor FA Selangor FA 1-1 HT 0-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
29.04.2022 Selangor FA Selangor FA 3-1 HT 1-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
05.05.2021 Pahang Pahang 2-2 HT 0-0 Selangor FA Selangor FA MALES
POST-MATCH Pahang vs Selangor FA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pahang and Selangor FA shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Selangor FA at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Selangor FA led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pahang and 1.83 for Selangor FA.

What was the final score of Pahang vs Selangor FA?

Pahang 1-1 Selangor FA in the Malaysia - Cup on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pahang vs Selangor FA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Selangor FA win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pahang 26%, draw 25%, Selangor FA 49%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Selangor FA) ✗ Over 2.5
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