Gornik Leczna 2-2 Tychy 71 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
23%
3.88
6+ Goals
11%
16.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.88 — our 23% vs market 20.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tychy 71 EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.41/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.61
-2% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tychy 71
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 0-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
20.02.2024 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-0 HT 1-0 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 POL1
29.04.2023 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 2-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
01.10.2022 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 3-2 HT 1-0 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 POL1
16.06.2021 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 1-1 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
07.05.2021 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 3-1 HT 2-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Leczna
2-2
AWAY Tychy 71
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Tychy 71
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna and Tychy 71 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gornik Leczna had 52% of the ball to Tychy 71's 48%, shots finished 7-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Leczna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gornik Leczna and 1.33 for Tychy 71.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Tychy 71?

Gornik Leczna 2-2 Tychy 71 in the Poland - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Tychy 71?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 37%, draw 28%, Tychy 71 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gornik Leczna), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Leczna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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