23/11/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
AS Ariana vs ES Rades Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
36%
Draw
28%
24%
Away Win
28%
69%
Under 2.5
60%
31%
Over 2.5
40%
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
58%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AS Ariana v ES Rades — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
AS Ariana
EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
ES Rades
EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% /
-11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-14%
/
-9%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
299 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
389 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
4.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
AS Ariana vs ES Rades
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
AS Ariana squeezed past ES Rades 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 36% / 24%) promised a tight game; AS Ariana found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of AS Ariana vs ES Rades?
AS Ariana 1-0 ES Rades in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs ES Rades?
Before kick-off our model rated a AS Ariana win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 40%, draw 36%, ES Rades 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Ariana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (AS Ariana)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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TUN2
More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
23 Nov 2024