Mbarara City 1-0 Kiboga Young — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+11.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mbarara City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kiboga Young EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.61/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.00
+7% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mbarara City
1-0
AWAY Kiboga Young
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mbarara City vs Kiboga Young
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mbarara City edged past Kiboga Young 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mbarara City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Mbarara City had 53% of the ball to Kiboga Young's 47%, shots finished 20-3.

What was the final score of Mbarara City vs Kiboga Young?

Mbarara City 1-0 Kiboga Young in the Uganda - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs Kiboga Young?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mbarara City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 42%, draw 27%, Kiboga Young 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mbarara City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mbarara City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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