Aris Saloniki 0-1 Volos NFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 23 Nov 2024

Aris Saloniki
0-1 HT 0-1
Volos NFC
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Aris Saloniki vs Volos NFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.89
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.55
X/1
20%
3.62
X/2 EV+ ✗
11%
12.6
X/X
10%
5.51
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
9%
10.55
2/X
7%
18.65
Value flag · X/2 at 12.6 — our 11% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aris Saloniki v Volos NFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +24%
1.51/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.26
+7% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +32%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 74%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
19.2 Crosses 14.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Aris Saloniki vs Volos NFC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Volos NFC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.48 xG 0.72
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
440 Passes 246
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-0 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
11.11.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
03.05.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 4-2 HT 2-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
23.04.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-3 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
21.01.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
02.10.2022 Volos NFC Volos NFC 2-0 HT 2-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN

Aris Saloniki 0-1 Volos NFC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
0-1
AWAY Volos NFC
0.61 xG 0.41
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
521 Passes 196
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 5
32 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Volos NFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volos NFC edged past Aris Saloniki 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Aris Saloniki at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 69% of the ball to Volos NFC's 31%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 0.61 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Aris Saloniki and 0.67 for Volos NFC.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Volos NFC?

Aris Saloniki 0-1 Volos NFC in the Greece - Super League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Volos NFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 51%, draw 23%, Volos NFC 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aris Saloniki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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