Tenerife (K) 2-1 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.3pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.7pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-10.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.36/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.90
+40% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / +66%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
12.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
15.4 Crosses 17.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.07 xG 1.73
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
182 Passes 376
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2025 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
08.12.2024 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) 2-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
04.05.2024 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife (K)
2-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
1.24 xG 1.05
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
197 Passes 474
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tenerife (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife (K) nicked a narrow win over Atletico Madrid (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Tenerife (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tenerife (K) had 35% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 65%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.24 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tenerife (K) and 1.67 for Atletico Madrid (K).

What was the final score of Tenerife (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Tenerife (K) 2-1 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Tenerife (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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