Neftçi PFK 2-3 İmişli FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.1pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.9pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY İmişli FK EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.87/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.00
-2% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +58%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftçi PFK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY İmişli FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.08.2025 İmişli FK İmişli FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
POST-MATCH Neftçi PFK vs İmişli FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İmişli FK nicked a narrow win over Neftçi PFK 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Neftçi PFK carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs İmişli FK?

Neftçi PFK 2-3 İmişli FK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs İmişli FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 55%, draw 27%, İmişli FK 18%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
23 Nov 2025
14:00 Sabah vs Shamakhi Analysis →