OH Leuven 1-2 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 23 Nov 2025

OH Leuven
1-2 HT 1-2
St. Truidense
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

OH Leuven vs St. Truidense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.15
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.59 — our 27% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.74
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
5.71
X/2
9%
5.95
X/X
9%
4.5
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
14%
3.99
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · X/1 at 5.71 — our 21% vs market 13.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
37%
+9.6pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.4pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OH Leuven v St. Truidense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 38%
+13% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.29/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.20
+17% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 71%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
15.3 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

OH Leuven vs St. Truidense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 0.90
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 476
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-2 HT 1-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
15.09.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
17.05.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
20.04.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
09.12.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
22.10.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense squeezed past OH Leuven 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was OH Leuven at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for OH Leuven and 1.00 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs St. Truidense?

OH Leuven 1-2 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 47%, draw 23%, St. Truidense 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (OH Leuven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
23 Nov 2025
15:30 Genk vs Mechelen Analysis →
18:00 Royal Antwerp vs Dender EH Analysis →
20:30 La Louvière vs Anderlecht Analysis →