Simba 0-1 Petro De Luanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 23 Nov 2025

Simba
0-1 HT 0-0
Petro De Luanda
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
CAF Champions League – 2025/2026

Simba vs Petro De Luanda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 34% vs market 29.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.1
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.95
X/1
18%
3.98
X/2
9%
10.8
X/X
20%
4.77
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
9%
9.51
2/X
6%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.0pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Simba v Petro De Luanda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Simba EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Petro De Luanda EU Bookmakers 21%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-34% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
408 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Simba 0-1 Petro De Luanda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Simba
0-1
AWAY Petro De Luanda
1.47 xG 0.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 0
338 Passes 241
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 6
9 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Simba vs Petro De Luanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petro De Luanda squeezed past Simba 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Simba at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Simba had 57% of the ball to Petro De Luanda's 43%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.47 to 0.32 — on chances, Simba could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Simba vs Petro De Luanda?

Simba 0-1 Petro De Luanda in the CAF Champions League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Simba vs Petro De Luanda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Simba win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Simba 47%, draw 31%, Petro De Luanda 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Simba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Simba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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