USM Alger 3-2 San Pedro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.29
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
3.06
No
63%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.61
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.16
6+ Goals
8%
20.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
30%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
74%
+1.1pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.5pp
7%
Away Win
7%
+0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
28%
+8.2pp
63%
BTTS No
72%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY San Pedro EU Bookmakers 9%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.34/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.21
+26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +65%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
23.1 Crosses 12.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
3-2
AWAY San Pedro
2.00 xG 0.78
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 4
526 Passes 139
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 3
21 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs San Pedro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger nicked a narrow win over San Pedro 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM Alger had 65% of the ball to San Pedro's 35%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 2.00 to 0.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold USM Alger's control.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs San Pedro?

USM Alger 3-2 San Pedro in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs San Pedro?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 75%, draw 18%, San Pedro 7%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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