Saint-Étienne (K) 1-4 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
66%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
26%
X/X
7%
2/1
2%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+12.5pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.9pp
66%
Away Win
79%
-13.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.5pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
0.53/2.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.48
-51% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -39%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
197 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 86%
5.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
5.0 Crosses 21.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY PSG (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.67
0.14 xG 3.21
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 11
230 Passes 609
73% Pass Accuracy 90%
4 Box Touches 41
5 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2025 PSG (K) PSG (K) 6-0 HT 6-0 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
13.12.2024 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
16.03.2024 PSG (K) PSG (K) 5-0 HT 2-0 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
1-4
AWAY PSG (K)
1.02 xG 3.71
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 6
152 Passes 436
60% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG (K) ran out comfortable winners over Saint-Étienne (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSG (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 33% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 67%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 1.02 to 3.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, PSG (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Saint-Étienne (K) and 4.67 for PSG (K).

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs PSG (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 1-4 PSG (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 18%, draw 16%, PSG (K) 66%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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