Newport City 2-2 Blaenavon Blues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 23 Nov 2025

Newport City
2-2 HT 1-0
Blaenavon Blues
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Wales - Welsh Cup – 2025/2026

Newport City vs Blaenavon Blues Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.33
No
43%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.4pp
20%
Draw
11%
+8.3pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
39%
+18.1pp
43%
BTTS No
61%
-18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newport City v Blaenavon Blues — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport City EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Blaenavon Blues EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
471 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Newport City vs Blaenavon Blues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport City and Blaenavon Blues couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Newport City carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Newport City vs Blaenavon Blues?

Newport City 2-2 Blaenavon Blues in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport City vs Blaenavon Blues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Newport City 69%, draw 20%, Blaenavon Blues 12%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newport City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newport City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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