Lucky Mile 3-6 Shatin SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
12.23
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
73%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.85
No
37%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
24%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
6%
+3.8pp
17%
Draw
12%
+5.4pp
72%
Away Win
82%
-9.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
50%
+13.4pp
37%
BTTS No
50%
-13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucky Mile EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 85%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.49/6.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.06/1.35
-51% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -29%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
242 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 538 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucky Mile
3-6
AWAY Shatin SA
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lucky Mile vs Shatin SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shatin SA cruised past Lucky Mile 6-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shatin SA as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lucky Mile had 40% of the ball to Shatin SA's 60%, shots finished 16-13.

What was the final score of Lucky Mile vs Shatin SA?

Lucky Mile 3-6 Shatin SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucky Mile vs Shatin SA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shatin SA win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Lucky Mile 10%, draw 17%, Shatin SA 72%. The final score 3-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shatin SA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shatin SA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK2 More Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division
23 Nov 2025
08:30 Citizen AA vs Central & Western Analysis →
08:30 Tung Sing vs Kwun Tong Analysis →
10:30 WSE vs Yuen Long Analysis →
10:30 Resources Capital FC vs Hoi King Analysis →
10:30 South China vs 3 Sing Analysis →