Ho Chi Minh 3-0 Ba Ria Vung Tau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - Cup, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
16%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
17%
Away Win
19%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ho Chi Minh EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ba Ria Vung Tau EU Bookmakers 22%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-43% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ho Chi Minh
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Ba Ria Vung Tau
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
31.03.2023 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 1-1 HT 1-0 Ba Ria Vung Tau Ba Ria Vung Tau VİETK
11.09.2020 Ba Ria Vung Tau Ba Ria Vung Tau 2-3 HT 2-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİETK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ho Chi Minh
3-0
AWAY Ba Ria Vung Tau
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ho Chi Minh vs Ba Ria Vung Tau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ho Chi Minh swept aside Ba Ria Vung Tau 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ho Chi Minh as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ho Chi Minh had 55% of the ball to Ba Ria Vung Tau's 45%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ho Chi Minh had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ho Chi Minh and 1.50 for Ba Ria Vung Tau.

What was the final score of Ho Chi Minh vs Ba Ria Vung Tau?

Ho Chi Minh 3-0 Ba Ria Vung Tau in the Vietnam - Cup on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ho Chi Minh vs Ba Ria Vung Tau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ho Chi Minh win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ho Chi Minh 55%, draw 29%, Ba Ria Vung Tau 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ho Chi Minh) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ho Chi Minh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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