Crawley Town vs Birmingham Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crawley Town v Birmingham — Team-Based Signals
Crawley Town vs Birmingham Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
5-1
HT 3-0
Crawley Town
İNLK
Crawley Town 0-1 Birmingham — Actual Match Statistics
Birmingham squeezed past Crawley Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Birmingham as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Crawley Town had 38% of the ball to Birmingham's 62%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.22 to 0.80.
What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Birmingham?
Crawley Town 0-1 Birmingham in the England - 1st Division on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Birmingham?
Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 21%, draw 25%, Birmingham 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.