Cagliari U20 2-0 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 23 Dec 2024

📅23/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari U20 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 45%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.49/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.52/2.00
-2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +125% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
273 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari U20
2-0
AWAY Fiorentina U20
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cagliari U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari U20 saw off Fiorentina U20 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina U20 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cagliari U20 had 40% of the ball to Fiorentina U20's 60%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Cagliari U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Cagliari U20 2-0 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cagliari U20 31%, draw 26%, Fiorentina U20 44%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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