Shabab Al Ahli 2-0 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 23 Dec 2024

📅23/12/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
7.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.2pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.95/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.68
-12% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 81%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
17.0 Crosses 18.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Al Ahli
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Nasr
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.98 xG 0.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
495 Passes 148
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 4-3 HT 1-2 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAECK
16.05.2021 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAECK
17.01.2020 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-1 HT 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
07.09.2019 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-2 HT 0-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
10.10.2015 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Ahli vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Ahli saw off Al Nasr 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shabab Al Ahli as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shabab Al Ahli had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shabab Al Ahli and 1.40 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Ahli vs Al Nasr?

Shabab Al Ahli 2-0 Al Nasr in the UAE - League Cup on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Ahli vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabab Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Ahli 54%, draw 22%, Al Nasr 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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