Colchester United U21 4-2 Bristol City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 23 Dec 2024

📅23/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.38
No
45%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+8.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-10.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.3pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.49/2.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/0.00
+43% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester United U21
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bristol City U21
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
08.03.2024 Colchester United U21 Colchester United U21 6-2 HT 3-1 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 INGPDL
05.12.2023 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 4-2 HT 1-0 Colchester United U21 Colchester United U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Colchester United U21 vs Bristol City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester United U21 saw off Bristol City U21 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bristol City U21 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Colchester United U21 and 3.00 for Bristol City U21.

What was the final score of Colchester United U21 vs Bristol City U21?

Colchester United U21 4-2 Bristol City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester United U21 vs Bristol City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bristol City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Colchester United U21 35%, draw 23%, Bristol City U21 42%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bristol City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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