Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-1 Derot — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 23 Dec 2024

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
1-1
Derot
📅23/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Egypt - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Derot Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.44
No
66%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.4pp
34%
BTTS Yes
37%
-2.5pp
66%
BTTS No
63%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar v Derot — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl Kafr El Dawar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Derot EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
0.70/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-41% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards –

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-1 Derot — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
1-1
AWAY Derot
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Derot
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar and Derot shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ghazl Kafr El Dawar at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar had 53% of the ball to Derot's 47%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Derot?

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-1 Derot in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Derot?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl Kafr El Dawar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 41%, draw 30%, Derot 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ghazl Kafr El Dawar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ghazl Kafr El Dawar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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