Tunus vs Uganda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tunus v Uganda — Team-Based Signals
Tunus 3-1 Uganda — Actual Match Statistics
Tunus beat Uganda 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tunus as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (64%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Tunus had 49% of the ball to Uganda's 51%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.39 to 0.55.
Tunus vs Uganda Result & Final Score
Tunus 3 - 1 Uganda in the Africa Cup of Nations on 23/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tunus vs Uganda Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tunus win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tunus 54%, draw 32%, Uganda 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tunus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.