Duhok 1-0 Al Najaf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 23 Dec 2025

Duhok
1-0 HT 1-0
Al Najaf
📅23/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Duhok vs Al Najaf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.52
Over 2.5
49%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.8pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Duhok v Al Najaf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Duhok EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.37/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.76
+11% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +46%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Duhok vs Al Najaf Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Duhok
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Najaf
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
13.06.2025 Duhok Duhok 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Najaf Al Najaf IRAK
POST-MATCH Duhok vs Al Najaf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Duhok nicked a narrow win over Al Najaf 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Duhok as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Duhok vs Al Najaf?

Duhok 1-0 Al Najaf in the Iraq - Premier League on 23/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Duhok vs Al Najaf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Duhok 45%, draw 23%, Al Najaf 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Duhok), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Duhok) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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