St. Johnstone 1-1 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.71
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.6
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
9%
14.35
X/1
12%
6.9
X/2
17%
4.37
X/X
12%
3.85
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
15%
2.95
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.09/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.87
-11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
229 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.6 Crosses 22.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aberdeen
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.64 xG 1.09
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
190 Passes 368
62% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
01.04.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
07.01.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
20.08.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
11.05.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
15.02.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
1-1
AWAY Aberdeen
0.99 xG 1.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
233 Passes 313
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone and Aberdeen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 45% of the ball to Aberdeen's 55%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.99 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for St. Johnstone and 0.83 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Aberdeen?

St. Johnstone 1-1 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 34%, draw 27%, Aberdeen 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aberdeen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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