Leeds United 1-0 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 24 Jan 2024

Leeds United
1-0 HT 1-0
Norwich City
📅24/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Leeds United vs Norwich City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.56
2-3 Goals
42%
2.01
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
6.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.65
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✗
8%
17.9
X/1
15%
3.74
X/2
8%
14.8
X/X
10%
7.48
2/1
7%
19.85
2/2
6%
10.4
2/X
8%
18.1
Value flag · 1/X at 17.9 — our 8% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.2pp
27%
Draw
19%
+7.5pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Norwich City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.15/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.98
+3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
35.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
23.2 Crosses 11.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Leeds United vs Norwich City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Norwich City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 1.02
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
360 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 2-3 HT 2-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
13.03.2022 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNP
31.10.2021 Norwich City Norwich City 1-2 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
02.02.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 1-3 HT 0-2 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
25.08.2018 Norwich City Norwich City 0-3 HT 0-2 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
28.04.2018 Norwich City Norwich City 2-1 HT 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL

Leeds United 1-0 Norwich City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
1-0
AWAY Norwich City
1.52 xG 0.47
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
454 Passes 395
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 8
8 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United edged past Norwich City 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Leeds United had 52% of the ball to Norwich City's 48%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.52 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leeds United and 1.50 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Norwich City?

Leeds United 1-0 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 54%, draw 27%, Norwich City 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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