24/01/2024
·
22:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Kingstonian vs Concord Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
19%
Draw
26%
39%
Away Win
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kingstonian v Concord Rangers — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kingstonian
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Concord Rangers
EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-48% /
-48%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-47%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
10
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
386 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
198 · 66%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kingstonian vs Concord Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Concord Rangers edged past Kingstonian 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match split (42% / 19% / 39%) promised a tight game; Concord Rangers found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Kingstonian vs Concord Rangers?
Kingstonian 1-2 Concord Rangers in the England - Non League Premier on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kingstonian vs Concord Rangers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kingstonian win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kingstonian 42%, draw 19%, Concord Rangers 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kingstonian) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Kingstonian)
✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →