Manchester City (K) 2-1 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's FA Cup, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
27%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+8.5pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.0pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
224 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 490 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Manchester United (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.52 xG 1.10
57% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
482 Passes 254
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Crosses 11
19.11.2023 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
07.09.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City (K)
2-1
AWAY Manchester United (K)
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Manchester City (K) vs Manchester United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) squeezed past Manchester United (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester United (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Manchester City (K) had 56% of the ball to Manchester United (K)'s 44%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Manchester City (K) and 0.50 for Manchester United (K).

What was the final score of Manchester City (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Manchester City (K) 2-1 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's FA Cup on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Manchester City (K) 24%, draw 21%, Manchester United (K) 54%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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