Partizani Tirana 3-1 Apolonia Fier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Albania - Cup, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
40%
4-5
14%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
29%
+14.8pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.9pp
35%
Away Win
44%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partizani Tirana The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Apolonia Fier The Market 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Partizani Tirana vs Apolonia Fier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partizani Tirana got the better of Apolonia Fier 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Partizani Tirana as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Partizani Tirana vs Apolonia Fier?

Partizani Tirana 3-1 Apolonia Fier in the Albania - Cup on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partizani Tirana vs Apolonia Fier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partizani Tirana win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Partizani Tirana 44%, draw 21%, Apolonia Fier 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partizani Tirana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Partizani Tirana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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