OH Leuven 2-3 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 24 Jan 2024

OH Leuven
2-3 HT 1-2
Royal Antwerp
📅24/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belgium - Cup – 2023/2024

OH Leuven vs Royal Antwerp Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.06
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
5.96
1/2
7%
22.15
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1 EV+ ✗
15%
8.43
X/2
20%
4.34
X/X
9%
5.29
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.35
2/X
8%
13.35
Value flag · X/1 at 8.43 — our 15% vs market 8.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OH Leuven v Royal Antwerp — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

OH Leuven vs Royal Antwerp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.46 xG 1.55
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
278 Passes 400
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-0 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
18.08.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-1 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
26.02.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-1 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
07.08.2022 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 4-2 HT 2-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
02.04.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-1 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
29.08.2021 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-2 HT 2-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL

OH Leuven 2-3 Royal Antwerp — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
2-3
AWAY Royal Antwerp
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp squeezed past OH Leuven 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Royal Antwerp as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, OH Leuven had 54% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 46%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Antwerp led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for OH Leuven and 1.67 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Royal Antwerp?

OH Leuven 2-3 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Cup on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 29%, draw 22%, Royal Antwerp 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Royal Antwerp), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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