RWDM 47 0-1 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.6
6+ Goals
12%
14.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.78
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
19%
4.5
X/2
12%
7.04
X/X
10%
4.6
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
10%
5.21
2/X
6%
13.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
0.88/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.80
-37% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
16.0 Crosses 15.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RWDM 47
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AS Eupen
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.02 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
404 Passes 410
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-3 HT 1-1 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RWDM 47
0-1
AWAY AS Eupen
0.32 xG 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
284 Passes 277
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RWDM 47 vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Eupen squeezed past RWDM 47 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was RWDM 47 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RWDM 47 had 50% of the ball to AS Eupen's 50%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.32 to 1.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AS Eupen's control.

What was the final score of RWDM 47 vs AS Eupen?

RWDM 47 0-1 AS Eupen in the Belgium - Pro League on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RWDM 47 vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated a RWDM 47 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split RWDM 47 44%, draw 25%, AS Eupen 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (RWDM 47) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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