Bangu vs Nova Iguaçu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bangu v Nova Iguaçu — Team-Based Signals
Bangu vs Nova Iguaçu Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Bangu
BRC1
1-0
HT 0-0
Bangu
BRC1
0-1
HT 0-0
Nova Iguaçu
BRC1
Bangu 2-3 Nova Iguaçu — Actual Match Statistics
Nova Iguaçu edged past Bangu 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Nova Iguaçu found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bangu had 57% of the ball to Nova Iguaçu's 43%, shots finished 15-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nova Iguaçu led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Bangu and 1.00 for Nova Iguaçu.
What was the final score of Bangu vs Nova Iguaçu?
Bangu 2-3 Nova Iguaçu in the Brazil - Carioca 1 on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bangu vs Nova Iguaçu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bangu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bangu 39%, draw 27%, Nova Iguaçu 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.