Vitoria ES vs Serra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria ES v Serra — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria ES vs Serra Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Vitoria ES 3-1 Serra — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria ES got the better of Serra 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vitoria ES as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vitoria ES had 46% of the ball to Serra's 54%, shots finished 16-14.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vitoria ES and 2.00 for Serra.
What was the final score of Vitoria ES vs Serra?
Vitoria ES 3-1 Serra in the Brazil - Capixaba on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria ES vs Serra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria ES win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vitoria ES 43%, draw 23%, Serra 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria ES) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.