Novo Hamburgo vs Santa Cruz RS Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novo Hamburgo v Santa Cruz RS — Team-Based Signals
Novo Hamburgo 2-1 Santa Cruz RS — Actual Match Statistics
Novo Hamburgo nicked a narrow win over Santa Cruz RS 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Novo Hamburgo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Novo Hamburgo had 47% of the ball to Santa Cruz RS's 53%, shots finished 16-10.
What was the final score of Novo Hamburgo vs Santa Cruz RS?
Novo Hamburgo 2-1 Santa Cruz RS in the Brazil - Gaucho 1 on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novo Hamburgo vs Santa Cruz RS?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novo Hamburgo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Novo Hamburgo 56%, draw 24%, Santa Cruz RS 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novo Hamburgo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.