Feignies-Aulnoye 0-4 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 24 Jan 2024

Feignies-Aulnoye
0-4 HT 0-0
Montpellier
📅24/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Cup – 2025/2026

Feignies-Aulnoye vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.95
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
56%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 29% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
16.65
1/2
11%
23.45
1/X
7%
24.7
X/1
7%
20.65
X/2
26%
3.33
X/X
10%
7.82
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
20%
1.47
2/X
5%
24.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
10%
+12.2pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.2pp
56%
Away Win
73%
-17.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Feignies-Aulnoye v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feignies-Aulnoye EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 78%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.18/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.93
-42% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +136%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
10.0 Crosses 27.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
POST-MATCH Feignies-Aulnoye vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier swept aside Feignies-Aulnoye 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Montpellier as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Feignies-Aulnoye vs Montpellier?

Feignies-Aulnoye 0-4 Montpellier in the France - Cup on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feignies-Aulnoye vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Feignies-Aulnoye 22%, draw 22%, Montpellier 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montpellier) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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