East Bengal 2-0 Jamshedpur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 24 Jan 2024

East Bengal
2-0 HT 1-0
Jamshedpur
📅24/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
India - Super Cup – 2024

East Bengal vs Jamshedpur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.07
Over 2.5
65%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.61
No
37%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.69
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.08
6+ Goals
14%
10.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.08 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
44%
-9.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
56%
+9.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.8pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

East Bengal v Jamshedpur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Bengal EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +111% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

East Bengal vs Jamshedpur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Bengal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jamshedpur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 1.51
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
229 Passes 220
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.09.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 0-0 HT 0-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
13.01.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 1-2 HT 1-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
27.11.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-3 HT 1-2 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
11.01.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
21.11.2021 East Bengal East Bengal 1-1 HT 1-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
07.02.2021 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-2 HT 0-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
POST-MATCH East Bengal vs Jamshedpur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Bengal got the better of Jamshedpur 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; East Bengal found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for East Bengal and 1.00 for Jamshedpur.

What was the final score of East Bengal vs Jamshedpur?

East Bengal 2-0 Jamshedpur in the India - Super Cup on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Bengal vs Jamshedpur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jamshedpur win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split East Bengal 36%, draw 25%, Jamshedpur 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jamshedpur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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