Feyenoord 1-0 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 24 Jan 2024

Feyenoord
1-0 HT 1-0
PSV Eindhoven
📅24/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - KNVB Cup – 2023/2024

Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.69
6+ Goals
12%
6.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.62
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
13%
4.9
X/2
12%
7.39
X/X
10%
5.75
2/1
8%
21.25
2/2
12%
4.64
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.85
Value flag · 2/X at 12.85 — our 11% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.5pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.5pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Feyenoord v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.22/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.15
-18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
21.4 Crosses 22.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 5.6

Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
1W-2D-3L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.73 xG 1.44
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
382 Passes 345
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-2 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
04.08.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-1 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HSK
05.02.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-2 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
18.09.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-3 HT 2-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
08.05.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-2 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
19.09.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 0-4 HT 0-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL

Feyenoord 1-0 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
1-0
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.38 xG 0.94
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
247 Passes 400
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord squeezed past PSV Eindhoven 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Feyenoord made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Feyenoord had 41% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 59%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.38 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Feyenoord and 1.83 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven?

Feyenoord 1-0 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 39%, draw 30%, PSV Eindhoven 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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