Nacional Asuncion 2-2 General Caballero JLM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.54/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.42
-12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
4W-1D-1L
AWAY General Caballero JLM
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
21.08.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-3 HT 0-2 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
24.04.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-0 HT 0-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
12.02.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
19.09.2022 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 0-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
17.07.2022 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 1-2 HT 0-2 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
2-2
AWAY General Caballero JLM
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs General Caballero JLM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion and General Caballero JLM couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nacional Asuncion at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 42% of the ball to General Caballero JLM's 58%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 0.67 for General Caballero JLM.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs General Caballero JLM?

Nacional Asuncion 2-2 General Caballero JLM in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs General Caballero JLM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 47%, draw 28%, General Caballero JLM 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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