Santa Clara U23 6-1 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.61
No
57%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.8pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Farense U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
12.12.2023 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
22.09.2023 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-1 HT 2-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
6-1
AWAY Farense U23
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 cruised past Farense U23 6-1. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Santa Clara U23 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 57% of the ball to Farense U23's 43%, shots finished 16-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Farense U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Clara U23 and 1.50 for Farense U23.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Farense U23?

Santa Clara U23 6-1 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 41%, draw 26%, Farense U23 33%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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