24/01/2024
·
23:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Tre Fiori vs San Giovanni Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
42%
4-5
17%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
15%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
28%
27%
Draw
27%
35%
Away Win
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tre Fiori v San Giovanni — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tre Fiori
The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
San Giovanni
The Market 49%
+5% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+100%
/
+67%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
9
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
4
322 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
333 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Tre Fiori vs San Giovanni
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tre Fiori saw off San Giovanni 3-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Tre Fiori made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Tre Fiori vs San Giovanni?
Tre Fiori 3-1 San Giovanni in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tre Fiori vs San Giovanni?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tre Fiori win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tre Fiori 38%, draw 27%, San Giovanni 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tre Fiori), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Tre Fiori)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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