Al Safa 2-1 Al Bukayriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒17:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-5.9pp
36%
Draw
29%
+7.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.6pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Safa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 39%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/1.01
-54% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -85% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
244 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Safa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.08.2023 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Safa Al Safa SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Safa
2-1
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Safa vs Al Bukayriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Safa squeezed past Al Bukayriyah 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 36% / 34%) promised a tight game; Al Safa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Safa had 52% of the ball to Al Bukayriyah's 48%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Al Safa vs Al Bukayriyah?

Al Safa 2-1 Al Bukayriyah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Safa vs Al Bukayriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Safa 30%, draw 36%, Al Bukayriyah 34%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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