Lokeren-Temse 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 36%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
0.91/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.56
-10% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
24.0 Crosses 22.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokeren-Temse
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.27 xG 1.77
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
167 Passes 284
63% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.11.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-2 HT 1-1 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse BEL2
05.01.2024 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse 2-2 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokeren-Temse
1-1
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.36 xG 0.90
47% Ball Possession 53%
23 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
246 Passes 272
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
40 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lokeren-Temse vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokeren-Temse and Lierse Kempenzonen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lokeren-Temse had 47% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 53%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 1.36 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lokeren-Temse and 2.00 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

What was the final score of Lokeren-Temse vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Lokeren-Temse 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokeren-Temse vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lierse Kempenzonen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lokeren-Temse 36%, draw 27%, Lierse Kempenzonen 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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