Pretoria Callies 0-1 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.59
Over
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2.37
2-3
34%
1.72
4-5
20%
4.48
6+
7%
24.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.37 — our 39% vs market 34.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.7pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pretoria Callies The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants The Market 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pretoria Callies
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies 1-0 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAF1
11.11.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 4-2 HT 2-1 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pretoria Callies
0-1
AWAY Marumo Gallants
0.26 xG 1.24
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 3
389 Passes 455
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 22
4 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pretoria Callies vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marumo Gallants squeezed past Pretoria Callies 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marumo Gallants as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Pretoria Callies had 46% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 54%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.26 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pretoria Callies and 2.00 for Marumo Gallants.

What was the final score of Pretoria Callies vs Marumo Gallants?

Pretoria Callies 0-1 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - Cup on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pretoria Callies vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marumo Gallants win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pretoria Callies 28%, draw 31%, Marumo Gallants 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marumo Gallants), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marumo Gallants) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →