Vancouver Whitecaps 2-3 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.69
6+ Goals
13%
7.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.49 — our 26% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
45%
Away Win
56%
-10.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+13.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-13.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.1pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
267 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
2-3
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
40% Ball Possession 60%
2 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa squeezed past Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 40% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 60%, shots finished 2-5.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Vancouver Whitecaps 2-3 Rakow Czestochowa in the Friendlies on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 29%, draw 26%, Rakow Czestochowa 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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