Peru U20 1-2 Paraguay U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peru U20 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay U20 EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
251 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peru U20
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Paraguay U20
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.39 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
485 Passes 327
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2023 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 1-0 HT 1-0 Peru U20 Peru U20 SUD20
07.02.2015 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 1-3 HT 0-3 Peru U20 Peru U20 SUD20
23.01.2015 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 1-1 HT 1-1 Peru U20 Peru U20 SUD20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peru U20
1-2
AWAY Paraguay U20
0.46 xG 1.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
252 Passes 237
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Peru U20 vs Paraguay U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay U20 edged past Peru U20 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paraguay U20 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Peru U20 had 51% of the ball to Paraguay U20's 49%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.46 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Peru U20 and 1.00 for Paraguay U20.

What was the final score of Peru U20 vs Paraguay U20?

Peru U20 1-2 Paraguay U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peru U20 vs Paraguay U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paraguay U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Peru U20 31%, draw 27%, Paraguay U20 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paraguay U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paraguay U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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