Lazio (K) 3-0 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
35%
3.45
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-1.4pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.7pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-7.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.0pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.89/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.91
+71% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
21.7 Crosses 21.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.78 xG 0.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
324 Passes 293
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.01.2025 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
19.10.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 3-2 HT 1-1 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio (K)
3-0
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Lazio (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio (K) cruised past Fiorentina (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lazio (K) had 46% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 54%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lazio (K) and 1.50 for Fiorentina (K).

What was the final score of Lazio (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Lazio (K) 3-0 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lazio (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lazio (K) 23%, draw 35%, Fiorentina (K) 43%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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