Dumbarton 2-1 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.41
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.5pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.62/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.94
-18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stranraer
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
30.09.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 3-1 HT 2-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
06.05.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-1 HT 1-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
04.03.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 0-2 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
05.11.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
20.09.2022 Stranraer Stranraer 3-2 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
28.12.2019 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-1 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK1
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton squeezed past Stranraer 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dumbarton as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dumbarton and 1.00 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Stranraer?

Dumbarton 2-1 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 48%, draw 28%, Stranraer 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dumbarton), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK2 More Scotland - 2nd Division
24 Feb 2024
18:00 Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Analysis →
18:00 East Fife vs Forfar Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Peterhead vs Elgin City Analysis →
18:00 Stenhousemuir vs Clyde Analysis →