Eibar 2-3 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 Feb 2024

Eibar
2-3 HT 1-0
Espanyol
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Eibar vs Espanyol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.39
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.74
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
17%
4.3
X/2
12%
7.58
X/X
13%
4.03
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
10%
6.1
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eibar v Espanyol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.35/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.39
+20% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
23.3 Crosses 19.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Eibar vs Espanyol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Espanyol
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.96 xG 1.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 Passes 307
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.11.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 2-2 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
12.07.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 0-2 HT 0-2 Eibar Eibar İS1
15.09.2019 Eibar Eibar 1-2 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
21.01.2019 Eibar Eibar 3-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
25.09.2018 Espanyol Espanyol 1-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS1
18.04.2018 Espanyol Espanyol 0-1 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS1

Eibar 2-3 Espanyol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
2-3
AWAY Espanyol
1.09 xG 1.16
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
456 Passes 368
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol nicked a narrow win over Eibar 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Eibar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eibar had 54% of the ball to Espanyol's 46%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.09 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eibar and 0.83 for Espanyol.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Espanyol?

Eibar 2-3 Espanyol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Eibar 46%, draw 27%, Espanyol 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eibar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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