Bavois 0-3 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.95
Over 2.5
60%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bavois EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 54%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.75/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.22
+14% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bavois
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.08.2023 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-1 HT 0-1 Bavois İSV1Y
04.03.2023 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-2 HT 1-0 Bavois İSV1Y
27.08.2022 Bavois 0-2 HT 0-1 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
19.02.2022 Bavois 0-1 HT 0-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
28.08.2021 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 0-0 HT 0-0 Bavois İSV1Y
12.06.2021 Bavois 3-0 HT 3-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bavois
0-3
AWAY Etoile Carouge
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bavois vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge cruised past Bavois 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Etoile Carouge as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Bavois had 50% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 50%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bavois and 1.00 for Etoile Carouge.

What was the final score of Bavois vs Etoile Carouge?

Bavois 0-3 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bavois vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bavois 33%, draw 22%, Etoile Carouge 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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