Nocerina vs Sarrabus Ogliastra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nocerina v Sarrabus Ogliastra — Team-Based Signals
Nocerina 1-0 Sarrabus Ogliastra — Actual Match Statistics
Nocerina edged past Sarrabus Ogliastra 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nocerina as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
On the day, Nocerina had 47% of the ball to Sarrabus Ogliastra's 53%, shots finished 11-13.
What was the final score of Nocerina vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Nocerina 1-0 Sarrabus Ogliastra in the Italy - Serie D on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nocerina vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nocerina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nocerina 41%, draw 30%, Sarrabus Ogliastra 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nocerina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.